The chances of actually winning is less than 5% which is very frightening considering this is a nugget event.
A fair example of how it should work.
Round 1 ( probability of winning 75% )
Round 2 ( probability of winning 65% )
Round 3 ( probability of winning 35% )
Round 4 ( probability of winning 10% )
Round 5 ( probability of winning 5% )
The current system has less than 5% chance of winning in ANY CARD , it's very sad , I play in many worlds and for the past 3 days I lose in all worlds from the 1st try , I haven't got a single piece of clothing, I haven't got a single letter, I haven't got a single win. Talk about nugget munching, this is beyond any reasonable event, this will lead to addiction, I thought InnoGames banned Poker from the game since it can become addictive.
I recommend to remove all events then because all events and especially DotD can become severely more addictive than Poker which required you to play with InGame cash and not real cash. Now I can understand that they didn't remove Poker for addiction purposes but because they didn't get any profit out of that game mode hence they focused on making the most addicting events possible.